Acceptodds a prediction market on which ICLR 2027 papers get accepted

About Acceptodds a prediction market on which ICLR 2027 papers get accepted

A prediction market on the fate of research papers, traded in reputation.

In the maker’s words

Hi, I built acceptodds, a prediction market on conference peer review. Every ICLR 2027 submission (42k papers) has a market: Accept vs. Reject. Like many in the ML community, I think the current conference/paper situation is a bit broken. I'm not sure how to fix it, but this is my attempt at building something fun to get the conversation started. Some details: - Prices come from Hanson's LMSR (logarithmic market scoring rule). - You can sell and/or rebuy at any time - There's a public leaderboard that ranks traders by P&L. - It uses an in-app currency called reputation. It can't be converted to money. - Bots can trade too, and they're encouraged. If you can get an LLM to predict the market, that would be cool! There's a public HTTP API with an OpenAPI spec (/api/v1/openapi.json). - Comments are pseudonymous, like on OpenReview ("User k3xm"), but they show the author's position. - There's…

Where people found it

• Hacker NewsShow HN: Acceptodds a prediction market on which ICLR 2027 papers get accepted5 points1 comments1 hour ago